Atmospheric Science Experts Predict 2009 Hurricane Season

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Risk managers and insurers should prepare for an active hurricane season in 2009 if predictions by Tropical Storm Risk, a consortium of atmospheric science experts led by the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Center, are correct. TSR is projecting Atlantic basin hurricane activity and landfall in the United States will be 35% above normal in 2009.

A Colorado State University team, formed by forecasting pioneer William Gray, says 2009 would be another "above-average" hurricane season after an active 2008. They predict three of next year's hurricanes would be dangerous storms with a rank of Category 3 or above on the Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity.  Key factors that create above-average hurricane activity are warmer than normal sea surface temperatures and weaker-than-normal trade winds.

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